Guesstimation Flashcards

(13 cards)

1
Q

What is a guesstimate?

A

An estimate made based on a mixture of guesswork, experience, and calculation, often using inadequate information.

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2
Q

When is a guesstimate usually made?

A

When trying to make a decision based on limited information (e.g., estimating the time it will take to achieve a task).

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3
Q

What is the main advantage of a guesstimate?

A

It allows us to make decisions quickly and effortlessly without overthinking simple things.

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4
Q

When should you avoid using guesstimation?

A

When making high-impact decisions where being wrong can create serious negative consequences.

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5
Q

What are the four steps to guesstimation?

A

Question (clarify the problem), Breakdown (divide into individual issues), Solve (solve each piece), and Consolidate (combine issues/solutions for the final answer).

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6
Q

What are the two main approaches to guesstimation?

A

Top-Down and Bottom-Up approaches.

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7
Q

Describe the Bottom-Up approach to guesstimation.

A

A data-driven, real-time approach that starts with specific characteristics and micro-attributes (incoming stimulus) and works upwards to form a conclusion. It does not require previous knowledge.

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8
Q

Describe the Top-Down approach to guesstimation.

A

An approach that seeks to identify the big picture using previous experiences, expectations, and contextual information to recognize patterns and understand components.

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9
Q

Is getting the exact final value important in a guesstimate interview question?

A

No, most interviewers do not have a specific number in mind. They are evaluating your process for arriving at the answer.

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10
Q

What are four key tips for succeeding in a guesstimation interview?

A
  1. Use rounded, easy-to-calculate numbers. 2. Always clarify the question. 3. Explicitly do sanity checks. 4. Present answers structured with visual aids (drawing out components).
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11
Q

What is the ultimate goal of a guesstimation problem?

A

To reveal your way of thinking, imagination, attention to detail, and determination in the face of a complex challenge.

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12
Q

How should you handle assumptions in a guesstimate (e.g., ‘How many ping pong balls fit in an airplane?’)?

A

Don’t just ask the interviewer for numbers; suggest what’s best for you and take the initiative to state your assumptions.

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13
Q

When calculating the volume of a plane’s fuselage for a guesstimate, what two dimensions do you need to estimate?

A

The airplane’s length and the diameter (or radius) of the fuselage.

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