What happens if high supply and low demand
Low prices.
What happens if low supply and high demand
High prices.
Social factors that influence the demand for wine
Explain the evolution of consumption habits in the last 20 years
A rapid increase in the first part of the 2000s, fall down in 2008, stable to 2021; drops in France and Italy, increment in the USA (largest wine consumption worldwide in 2011) and China, a stable market in Germany.
The possible reasons for the drop in consumption habits
How changes in consumer preferences affect the demand for wine
Rosé is popular (USA), Prosecco is increasing (UK), high demand for lower-alcohol wines, drop of fortified wines (from 4% to 2,5%), out of fashion for medium-sweet German wines (Liebfraumilch).
How changes in reputation affect the demand for wine
Good reviews increase prices (Wine Spectator in the USA, Jancis Robinson in the UK), also online influencers or key opinion leaders, presence in popular culture (films, tv series).
How changes in spending patterns affect the demand for wine
How much consumers are willing to spend on wine (Germany and UK no more for the lowest price possible, the USA above the minimum); competition in price-sensitive markets (consumers are building up brand loyalty); premiumisation in the recent years (pay more for a single bottle but less volume, USA and UK).
Economic factors that influence the demand for wine
How the strength of the economy affects the demand for wine
Sales of wine will change with the level of consumer disposable income; if disposable income falls, consumers choose cheaper wines or switch to other (2008 from Champagne to Prosecco); when an economy is growing, such as has been seen in China, disposable income increases and consumers are often willing to buy more expensive wine (Bordeaux, Burgundy).
How fluctuations in currency exchange affect the demand for wine
They can affect the demand for imported wines:
How changes to the market affect the demand for wine
Markets are constantly changing (product disappears = supply ↓ ⇨ new opportunities for competition (limited supply, ↑ prices)).
Legislative and political factors that influence the demand for wine
How laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of alcohol affect the demand for wine
Minimum legal drinking age, particular hours for the sales, sales control by monopolies and the USA’s three-tier system.
How government policies to reduce alcohol consumption affect the demand for wine
Criminal behaviour; Loi Evin in 1991 in France has restricted the advertising of alcoholic drinks; Scottish Government introduced minimum unit pricing to reduce the availability of cheap alcohol; alcohol limit before driving the car (BAC, Blood Alcohol Concentration), for example New Zealand and Scotland have reduced from 80mg/100ml to 50mg/100ml.
How taxation affects the demand for wine
Reduce consumption and revenue generator for governments; categories of wine have different levels of taxation (the Republic of Ireland has 3.20€/bottle of still wine and 6.37€/bottle of sparkling wine).
How international trade affects the demand for wine
Export has doubled in the last 15 years; custom duties on imported goods to generate revenue and encourage the domestic market; embargo (exports to a particular country is banned); free-trade agreement in EU, so countries that accept the agreement are more competitive than those don’t (South Africa and Chile vs Australia); trade wars.
How wine laws affect the demand for wine
GIs have a significant impact on the supply level; slow reaction on the market with PDO rules; stop of lavish gifting in China in 2012.
Which factors influence the demand for wine
Which factors influence the supply of wine
- Legislation.
Production factors that influence the supply of wine
Factors that have influenced the loss of vineyard land (particularly in the EU)
How human factors influence the supply of wine
Modern techniques (e.g. area under vine is decreasing but the production in Spain is increasing thanks to the use of modern higher density planting).
How natural factors influence the supply of wine
Weather variations (spring frosts, hailstorms, severe heat waves in 2017 = -14% compared to 2016; drought in South Africa and California, Chilean government estimates that 95% of the country’s vineyards will be irrigated in 2050), low yields (not related to low quality) means higher prices.