From the inception of the HR discipline, one of HR’s key roles has been staffing the organization:
Meaning it is identifying human capital needs and then providing an adequate supply of qualified individuals for jobs. Through staffing, the organization’s current and future needs for knowledge, skills, abilities, and other characteristics - its required competencies - must be met.
Workforce Planning
Is the first step in the workforce management process. It involves all the activities needed to ensure that workforce size and competencies meet current and future organizational and individual needs. Workforce planning strategically aligns an organization’s human capital with its business direction. This requires that the HR professional look at where the organization is now as well as where it wants to be in the future. During workforce planning, the current state of the workforce is defined, gaps in size and competency are identified, and steps required to prepare for future needs are developed.
An organization’s strategic plans should generate…
A list of the workforce capabilities needed to execute business strategy as well as a monetary value for each capability based on how critical it is to generating new revenues or reducing costs. Then, as with a well-managed supply chain, employers should compare the competencies they need with the “inventory” (workforce) they actually have. The gap between the ideal and the real can keep learning needs (and budgets) in line because it will sustain a focus on what people really need in order to be competent and to execute strategy.
Workforce Analysis
Gathers data about the current workforce and forecasts future workforce needs. This information is analyzed to provide the data to support the organization’s staffing strategy. Forecasting involves projecting future conditions based on information about the past and the present. It is used to estimate future workforce supply and demand.
Forecasts are subject to error because
Forecasts are subject to error, as the conditions on which they are based may change.
Sound forecasting requires environmental scanning—for example, the age of the current workforce or the availability of certain skills in the market.
A workforce analysis typically includes six areas:
strategic focus
supply analysis
demand analysis
gap analysis
solution analysis
evaluating workforce planning impact.
Workforce Profile:
Is an important part of a workforce analysis. It identifies the current make-up of the employees in terms of their demographics, skills, competencies, and performance levels. The profile also includes information such as employees’ expected retirement dates, their pay grades, and other factors that help explain the workforce’s composition. The profile allows HR departments to better identify their hiring needs and plan for the future.
Strategic Focus
What industries or direction are we striving to enter over the next one to three years?
What are the strengths and weaknesses of the current workforce?
Are there current external forces impacting our business (new technology, environmental, global issues, etc.)?
Supply Analysis
Where does the current workforce support business needs today and in the future?
Where does the current workforce not meet business needs today and in the future?
How can high-potential and high-performing employees be empowered to address business strategy?
How well do we understand the skills and competencies of each employee?
What workforce profile concerns do we have?
In what areas is turnover negatively impacting our business objectives?
Demand Analysis
What workforce competencies will be required to meet anticipated external demand and conditions?
How many employees will be required to meet demand? In what time frame and in what areas of the organization?
Will we be able to acquire the right talent at the right levels and at the right cost?
Gap Analysis
What necessary competencies do not currently exist in the workforce?
Does the workforce size require change? By how much?
What parts of the organization are most vulnerable to gaps in competency and/or staffing level?
Solution Analysis
How much money will be allocated to staffing future competencies?
Should we build, buy, or borrow the talent?
Will we look internally or externally to fill vacancies?
What sources should we use?
Can the gaps be filled by workers in the local area, or will we have to seek applicants elsewhere?
What level of applicants are we seeking to fill vacancies? Is it best to hire people at a full performance level, or should we seek entry-level candidates and train/develop them?
Are the needed competencies specialized? Do they require individuals with advanced training?
Will we need the competencies short-term or long-term? Full-time or part-time?
What are the costs versus the benefits of the recruitment strategy?
Evaluating Workforce Planning Impact
How will success be measured?
In what parts of workforce planning are we successful?
What are the challenges stopping us from meeting goals?
What workforce planning initiatives need to be revamped?
After identifying and assessing the organization’s strategic focus, the workforce analysis process moves on to analyzing supply:
The skill mix in the organization as it exist snow, and the organization’s future needs based on attrition and strategic growth or adjustment
Accurate supply forecasts account for:
Movement into and inside the organization (new hires, promotions, and internal transfers) and out of the organization (resignations, retirements, involuntary terminations, and discharges). Forecast approaches include a variety of quantitative and qualitative analyses. Analysis tools range from a manager’s “best guess” to rigorous mathematical applications.
Planners and managers in supply forecasts are encouraged to look for:
Overstaffing that results in a poor ratio of revenue per employee.
Opportunities to build talent to improve effectiveness, efficiency, and impact.
Elevating employee skills and/or maximizing time.
Revamping work processes or organizational structure.
Building commitment to agility/flexibility in all positions to meet changing production requirements.
Technology that is changing how each job is completed (artificial intelligence, robotics) and how talent can be identified, managed, and stored (applicant tracking systems, skill banks).
(The result of this analysis is a more accurate rubric showing the resources required to produce a specified amount of revenue. If steps are taken to correct these issues, the current supply may be more productive than it appears.)
Projections of internal supply…
Might seem to be a simple calculation: Consider the number of people in each job, along with the number of people who will transfer or who will leave the organization, and the number of people who will be left provides an estimate of the internal supply.
Examples of variables involved in forecasting:
Will the jobs remain the same?
What are the anticipated and required employee skill sets?
Will some jobs be eliminated while others are added or combined?
Will historical data hold true in the future?
Will new employees perform comparably to former employees in terms of productivity, punctuality, sick days, attitudes, and leadership abilities?
Analytical tools to improve forecasts
Two analytical tools are described in the Analytical Aptitude competency in the Competencies module: trend analysis and ratio analysis. An additional tool specific to workforce management is turnover analysis.
Turnover
Turnover is defined as the act of replacing employees leaving an organization or the attrition or loss of employees.
Turnover Rate
The turnover rate is a metric that is normally expressed using an annualized formula that tracks the number of separations and the total number of workforce employees per month.
Example:
To calculate the annualized employee turnover percentage, the HR manager:
Divides the total number of employees for the year (2,704) by 12 months. This yields an average monthly workforce of 225 employees.
Divides the number of separations for the year by the average number of employees per month:
(65/225)=28.9%
Turnover can also be calculated for shorter time periods (such as the first three months of the year), and then the results can be annualized to project what the annual turnover would be for 12 months.
Two common methods for projecting turnover are:
Examining pervious turnover rates and adjusting them to reflect knowledge of changing conditions such as pay rates and the economy
Analyzing trends in turnover rates for particular geographic locations or occupational categories
Demand analysis considers:
the model organization of the future and its human capital needs. Once the supply model is developed, data can be compared to the demand analysis projections and gaps can be identified, including numbers of employees and gaps in skills.
Demand analysis should not just project the most probable future. Other future scenarios should be considered, as the potential impact on gaps may be considerably different.
Two techniques used in demand analysis:
Two techniques used in demand analysis are judgmental forecasts and statistical forecasts. In both, the basic issue is forecasting the number of employees and the skills required to meet future organizational goals.