Chapter Thirteen Flashcards

Judgment, Decisions, and Reasoning (36 cards)

1
Q

What is reasoning

A

The process of drawing conclusions

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2
Q

Reasoning does what

A

Start with information/premise in order to draw conclusions

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3
Q

What do conclusions do

A

Go beyond the information

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4
Q

What are the two different types of reasoning

A

Inductive reasoning: Reasoning based on observations, examples, or patterns to arrive at a conclusions
Deductive reasoning: Reasoning based on facts, rules, defintions, or properties to arrive at a conclusion

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5
Q

What are the inductive reasoning factors

A

Representativeness (How likely it is that one’s observation generalizes), number of observations (How replicable are one’s observations), and quality of evidence (how valid are one’s observations)

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6
Q

What is deductive reasoning and inductive reasoning’s relationship to general principles and special cases

A

Deductive reasoning: Applies from general principle to special case
Inductive reasoning: Applies special case to general principle

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7
Q

What are heuristics

A

Informal strategy/approach that works under some circumstances

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8
Q

Are heuristics guaranteed to yeild the correct answer

A

No

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9
Q

What advantage and disadvantage is there to heuristics

A

Saves resources at the cost of accuracy leading to fast decision making and can be misleading leading to inaccurate results

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10
Q

What is availability heuristic

A

What comes to one’s mind easily which is assumed to be more likely

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11
Q

What is the illusory correlation of the availability heuristic

A

The strength of associative bond (strong association if events co-occur frequently)

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12
Q

The illusory correlation of the availability heuristic is extremly resistent to what

A

Contradictory information

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13
Q

The illusory correlation of the availability heuristic has bias in what

A

The judgment of the frequency with which two events co-occur

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14
Q

What is representativeness heuristic

A

Estimating the probability based on the mental prototype

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15
Q

In representativeness heuristic what items are assumed to be more likely

A

Items that resemble expectations

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16
Q

Representativeness heuristic has a tendency to what

A

Ignore probability and attend to features that align with representations

17
Q

Representativeness heuristic makes judgments based on what

A

The characteristics that resemble certain categories or classes

18
Q

What is deductive reasoning

A

A general statement or hypothesis that leads to reaching a specific conclusion

19
Q

A conclusion reached from deductive reasoning logically follows what

20
Q

Deductive reasoning involves sequences of what

A

Statements called syllogisms

21
Q

Syllogisms consist of what

A

Three statements, first two statements (premises) are taken to be true (accept them as given), thrid statment is the correlation based on the first two statements

22
Q

What are the two types of syllogism

A

Categorical syllogism and conditional syllogism

23
Q

What is the difference between validity and soundness (truth)

A

Validity depends on the form of syllogism, which determines whether the conclusion follows the two premises while soundness (truth) refers to the content of the premises, which have to be evaluated to determine whether they are consistent with the facts

24
Q

What was the finding in Evans, Barston, & Pollad (1983)

A

When one judges validity (whether it is logical or not) they make errors

25
What was relevant in Evans, Barston, & Pollad (1983)
Belief bias
26
What is belief bias
The tendency to think that a syllogism is valid if its conclusions are believable
27
What are the three statements of conditional syllogism
Two premises and one conclusion
28
Conditional syllogism involes what
Conditional clauses
29
Conditional syllogism has a logical determination of what
Whether the evidence supports, refutes, or is irrelevant to the stated relationship
30
Decision making involves what
Expected utility theory
31
What is expected utility theory
How people will choose in uncertainty and the point that if rational, people will choose the option that maximizes the expected viability (possible outcomes)
32
How are people rational
Within limits
33
What is the status quo bias/tendency to not make a decision
Opt-in-procedure: Make a choice to get to X Opt-out-procedure: Make a choice to not get X
34
What is expected emotion
People make decisions based on how they think they'll make them feel
35
What does expected emotion involve
Risk adversion
36
What is incidental emotion
Emotions not tied to a decison