decision definition
the process of making choices between alternatives
reasoning definition
the process of drawing conclusions
what is inductive reasoning
what strengthens an argument using inductive reasoning
inductive reasoning and scientific discoveries
make hypotheses and general conclusions
inductive reasoning and everyday life
make a prediction about what will happen based on observation about what has happened in the past
what is heuristics
rule of thumb that are likely to provide the correct answer to a problem but are not foolproof
what are the two common heuristics
availability and representativeness
what is availability heuristic
events more easily remembered are judged as being more probable than those less easily remembered
- influenced by media
what are the types of correlations seen with availability heuristics
illusory and spurious correlations
what is illusory correlations
a correlation appears to exist but either does not exist or is much weaker than assumed
what is spurious correlations
a correlation that appears to exist between two events caused by a hidden variable
what are stereotypes
an oversimplified generalization about a group or class of people that often focuses on the negative
what is representativeness heuristic
the probability that A is a member of class B is determined by how well A properties resemble properties normally associated with B
what information is used while following representativeness heuristic
what are the rules seen with representativeness heuristic
conjunction rule and law of large numbers
what is the conjunction rule
the probability of the conjunction of two events can’t be higher than the probability of the single constituents
what is the law of large numbers
the larger the number of individuals randomly drawn from a population the more representative the resulting group will be of the entire population
what types of attitudes affect judgement
myside bias and confirmation bias
what is myside bias
tendency for people to generate and evaluate evidence and test their hypothesis in a way that is biased toward their own opinions and attitudes
what is confirmation bias
tendency to selectively look for information that conforms to our hypothesis and overlook information that argues against it
who studied attitudes towards judgements
lord
what was the results of lord’s experiment
that those who favored capital punishment found the article convincing and those who did not favor capital punishment found the article unconvincing (it was the same article)
what has increased the issue of false evidence
With the advent of social media and AI-generated deepfakes, the problem has been getting worse